It could well be the case the General Election will be nearing its climax on the 5th November! Indeed I think it very likely for the following reasons.
Let’s see:
The Glasgow by-election writ was said to be moved on the 16th October 2009. Over a week since it was first announced. Yet On the parliamentary websites I have seen nothing to indicate it has been formally moved and Fridays are normally private members bill days. No motion has been instigated from what I have seen so the writ still has not been formally raised!
Second is the Postal Strike, normally Labour are seen as benefiting from postal votes and the like but in this coming general election, Labour actually need lower turnout. This is because Labours support is that Low, lower turnout from deliberate strategic actions will lower potential Labour opponents more than Labours vote. The postal strike may well have been strategically designed to disrupt opposition parties ability to use the free mail shots that political parties get at election time and of course postal votes for parties unaware of an immediate election. Labour still despite its weakness will have huge lists of postal votes to collect by hand if necessary. Labour have been reliant on postal votes but these votes are not sent nationally but locally and can be handed in at the electoral services in local councils in a strike situation. So the mail strike if known in advance can be easily got around by a prepared Labour party, its opponents may find it somewhat more difficult.
A postal strike and a 'surprise election' take out two important opposition tools in an election campaign. The written message to the voters in each horse in every seat in each part of the country. Billboard advertising is also taken away as a potential medium for opposition parties, hard to book it at such short notice.
Further to this would be polling day itself on November 5th, diminishing turnout further as people may choose to celebrate with fireworks rather than cast their vote. Labour wants a low turnout so the long nights and festivities assist the disruption to canvassing and getting in touch with the voters, remember Labour do not want to get turnout to be high as they will suffer even more.
Gordon Brown will chicken out of the TV debates due to the tares in his retina, he will say he cannot go into a TV debate on Doctors advice due to bright light damaging his eyes. His eye condition was announced cynically half an hour after the Polish ratified Lisbon. The previous week on the Saturday, Gordon Brown said half an hour after the Irish ratified Lisbon that he would enter the debates. One wonders if the Chzech President signs the treaty this Saturday, half an hour later something else will be announced.
If parliament is dissolved in the next week or so, the general election will also mean many MPs will not have to pay back overclaimed expenses. I believe the timing of the report for the 4th November is cynically timed to damage the Conservatives in terms of getting their vote out the next day. If the report on the 4th November is about Mortgages then I would expect the media to go after the Tories and leave Labour, this perversly will help Labour to avoid the voters retrubution. Despite the fact that many of the worst offenders have been Labour MPs in this current parliament and they ramped up the payments in the system in 2001. The media are fools and easily guided by Labour, we see anti-Tory articles on expenses when some of the criminal actions of Labour MPs go relatively unreported. I suppose Labour MPs mortgage fraud does not have the comic appeal of Duck houses or Moats. Whilst the Tories were idiots and should retire some Labour folk were indulging in criminal conduct – proportionality: Please! So the media will help Brown again despite the fact they are strategically manouvering things to deminish the electorates punch. Wake up my friends – Last chance to avoid becoming Zimbabwe!
The economy will go down hill next year, recovery will not happen as the fool in number 10 has made such a mess of the economy sustainable growth could be years away.
